Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.643353 4.212713 4.844720 5.598819 6.474887 7.461522 8.658347
2024-10-06 3.138430 3.949244 4.930156 6.206628 7.827684 9.822846 12.472964
2024-10-13 2.651465 3.591479 4.817383 6.538939 8.903995 12.053368 16.589670
2024-10-20 2.225626 3.219170 4.604758 6.688335 9.761036 14.155393 20.970142
2024-10-27 1.795609 2.753461 4.171626 6.439069 10.003258 15.440078 24.456724
2024-11-03 1.607755 2.603118 4.161325 6.799918 11.203848 18.342978 30.960523
2024-11-10 1.468996 2.500746 4.201315 7.238579 12.599033 21.797073 39.054047
2024-11-17 1.318367 2.349802 4.132151 7.475622 13.688982 24.927522 47.218742
2024-11-24 1.159700 2.155957 3.953951 7.482946 14.361672 27.427207 54.720242
2024-12-01 0.993602 1.919816 3.659323 7.218680 14.468844 28.877051 60.458066
2024-12-08 0.851736 1.705841 3.370564 6.912056 14.429592 30.017562 65.769500
2024-12-15 0.775964 1.609596 3.294539 7.018673 15.251497 33.053709 75.759487
2024-12-22 0.685976 1.474648 3.128826 6.930510 15.691623 35.469600 85.161642
2024-12-29 0.654402 1.459028 3.211801 7.404724 17.489787 41.290298 104.022146
2025-01-05 0.604964 1.395899 3.181438 7.617555 18.728910 46.081212 121.541766
2025-01-12 0.550554 1.312327 3.091229 7.672894 19.600903 50.171364 138.283730
2025-01-19 0.478126 1.174066 2.850379 7.312897 19.351092 51.372328 147.479369
2025-01-26 0.454986 1.152718 2.889087 7.675606 21.082665 58.178780 174.416816
2025-02-02 0.438314 1.144931 2.960474 8.139572 23.192834 66.494115 208.078841
2025-02-09 0.412456 1.108809 2.952622 8.385216 24.737789 73.542726 239.722541
2025-02-16 0.378633 1.045625 2.862171 8.379394 25.542688 78.578536 266.217816
2025-02-23 0.337264 0.954805 2.681071 8.073683 25.370166 80.573676 282.989248
2025-03-02 0.299353 0.867782 2.496755 7.724164 24.989017 81.827790 297.530884